Existing Home Supply Ticks Higher To 6.6 Months Nationwide

Jul 27, 2012

Existing Home Supply

Home resales slipped more than 5 percent last month, putting a damper recent housing market enthusiasm.  According to the National Association of REALTORS®, Existing Home Sales fell to 4.37 million units in June 2012 on a seasonally-adjusted annualized basis.  This is 250,000 fewer home sales per year as compared May’s figures which NAR has revised 2 percentage points higher.  The pace at which homes are selling has slowed too compared to May.  The Existing Home Supply rose 0.2 months at the current pace of sales nationwide, the national home supply would now be exhausted in 6.6 months.

A home supply of 6.0 months is believed to mark a market in balance.  There are currently 2.39 million homes for sale nationwide — the lowest total in 3 months and more than 24% below than the listed inventory at this point last year.

Other noteworthy statistics from the Existing Home Sales report include :

  • First-time buyers accounted for 32% of all purchasers in June, down from 34% in May
  • Real estate investors accounted for 19% of all purchasersin June, up from 17% in May
  • Cash buyers accounted for 29% of all purchasers in June, up from 28% in May

In addition, distressed sales, as a percentage of all sales was unchanged in June as foreclosures sold for an average discount of 18 percent below market value.  Short sales nationwide sold at an average 15 percent discount.

More on “distressed sales”:  In June, distressed homes accounted for 25% of all home resales, the smallest percentage of homes sold with such status since the real estate trade group began tracking the data in 2008.  Despite falling home sales and rising home supplies, home resales are expected to return to growth in July.  Last month’s Pending Home Sales Index spiked to a 2-year high, and 80% of homes under contract close within 60 days.  This portends well for July’s Existing Home Sales data, due in 4 weeks.

Low mortgage rates and rising rents in the Denver area and in many U.S. cities continue to fuel the U.S. housing market.  Home buyers should expect higher home prices ahead.

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